Is the WP you’re using from a different source from ESPN’s totals given on the scorebug? I figured at first it was smaller rounding issues but there’s a swing of ~10% on the Ibáñez clip and just wondering what the difference is.
StreetRope
Andy Ibanez my 🐐
IamShartacus
I don’t think my heart can take much more of this.
BPIScan142
TLDR, these are basically all from Mets-Brewers lol
CalebosO4
FYI, this doesn’t use ESPN’s inaccurate model. We know it’s inaccurate because when Meadows struck out in the 8th vs the Astros, for some reason the Tigers win probability increased. This is also why they shouldn’t have won probability up there cuz it’s wrong a lot of the time. Good job OP for not using ESPN’s lol
AluminumFoilist
It’s crazy how many of these were from the Mets/Brewers series.
sameth1
I’d love to see the WPA of that Heyward -> Torkelson lineout calculated after the ball is put in play. Because once you hear the crack off the bat, it sure feels like the Astros had a higher than 17% chance to win.
9 Comments
[deleted]
I miss when these were posted daily
Is the WP you’re using from a different source from ESPN’s totals given on the scorebug? I figured at first it was smaller rounding issues but there’s a swing of ~10% on the Ibáñez clip and just wondering what the difference is.
Andy Ibanez my 🐐
I don’t think my heart can take much more of this.
TLDR, these are basically all from Mets-Brewers lol
FYI, this doesn’t use ESPN’s inaccurate model. We know it’s inaccurate because when Meadows struck out in the 8th vs the Astros, for some reason the Tigers win probability increased. This is also why they shouldn’t have won probability up there cuz it’s wrong a lot of the time. Good job OP for not using ESPN’s lol
It’s crazy how many of these were from the Mets/Brewers series.
I’d love to see the WPA of that Heyward -> Torkelson lineout calculated after the ball is put in play. Because once you hear the crack off the bat, it sure feels like the Astros had a higher than 17% chance to win.