I’ve previously posted about a simple simulation I made to see what probability Ohtani had of reaching 50-50 (as of Wednesday, he’s at 84%). I modified it a bit to see which game he’s most likely to do it in. Based on my simulation, it looks like he’s most likely to do it at home, either against the Rockies or Padres.
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pdamdl
9/21 game has Ohtani T-shirt giveaway. It is a done deal.
GoshaNinja
They’re going to Coors he gonna be 60/50 by the time he’s back home
WerewolfNo3669
My smooth brain gut feeling was Rockies at home based on the schedule. Pretty much lines up with your big brain maths and science.
Beer-Me
I have tickets for the 20th. I’m gonna be a little sad if he doesn’t do it then
10 Comments
I’ve previously posted about a simple simulation I made to see what probability Ohtani had of reaching 50-50 (as of Wednesday, he’s at 84%). I modified it a bit to see which game he’s most likely to do it in. Based on my simulation, it looks like he’s most likely to do it at home, either against the Rockies or Padres.
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9/21 game has Ohtani T-shirt giveaway. It is a done deal.
They’re going to Coors he gonna be 60/50 by the time he’s back home
My smooth brain gut feeling was Rockies at home based on the schedule. Pretty much lines up with your big brain maths and science.
I have tickets for the 20th. I’m gonna be a little sad if he doesn’t do it then
Love that for us.
I have tickets to the last 3 Rockies games!
Would love for him to do it against the Padres.